Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.035084 0.040836 0.047231 0.054868 0.063741 0.073730 0.085831
2025-11-16 0.025663 0.033056 0.042134 0.054102 0.069475 0.088575 0.114144
2025-11-23 0.020183 0.028094 0.038571 0.053470 0.074133 0.101823 0.141834
2025-11-30 0.017044 0.025281 0.036890 0.054456 0.080402 0.117395 0.174308
2025-12-07 0.014339 0.022467 0.034554 0.053848 0.083937 0.129193 0.202693
2025-12-14 0.012071 0.019859 0.032007 0.052347 0.085639 0.138155 0.227664
2025-12-21 0.010287 0.017693 0.029757 0.050853 0.086937 0.146379 0.252247
2025-12-28 0.009303 0.016670 0.029163 0.051904 0.092421 0.161893 0.290763
2026-01-04 0.008349 0.015547 0.028217 0.052162 0.096477 0.175359 0.327355
2026-01-11 0.007523 0.014522 0.027285 0.052275 0.100208 0.188593 0.365105
2026-01-18 0.006895 0.013773 0.026741 0.052998 0.105100 0.204437 0.409675
2026-01-25 0.006415 0.013238 0.026521 0.054285 0.111192 0.223199 0.462232
2026-02-01 0.005627 0.011997 0.024795 0.052411 0.110872 0.229646 0.491441
2026-02-08 0.005103 0.011228 0.023920 0.052170 0.113878 0.243182 0.537291
2026-02-15 0.004619 0.010476 0.022981 0.051658 0.116221 0.255595 0.582360
2026-02-22 0.004315 0.010080 0.022743 0.052631 0.121912 0.275823 0.647372
2026-03-01 0.003925 0.009432 0.021868 0.052046 0.124000 0.288335 0.696407
2026-03-08 0.003519 0.008692 0.020689 0.050597 0.123874 0.295780 0.734478
2026-03-15 0.003161 0.008016 0.019575 0.049153 0.123562 0.302721 0.772219
2026-03-22 0.002989 0.007779 0.019473 0.050169 0.129408 0.325090 0.851319
2026-03-29 0.002788 0.007442 0.019087 0.050418 0.133349 0.343262 0.922142
2026-04-05 0.002599 0.007109 0.018668 0.050527 0.136942 0.360991 0.994201
2026-04-12 0.002455 0.006878 0.018481 0.051226 0.142187 0.383626 1.082535